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LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR CORP (LSCC)·Q3 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Lattice delivered a solid quarter with revenue of $133.35M, non-GAAP gross margin of 69.5%, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.28; Communications & Computing (C&C) revenue reached a record, driving sequential and year/year growth . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue was essentially in line ($133.35M vs $133.01M*) and non-GAAP EPS matched ($0.28 vs $0.279*). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Q4 2025 guidance implies acceleration: revenue $138–$148M (midpoint +22% YoY), non-GAAP GM ~69.5% ±1%, non-GAAP EPS $0.30–$0.34; management corrected a press release typo during the call, clarifying non-GAAP OpEx should be $54.5–$56.5M (not $54–$55M) .
  • Strategic drivers: strong AI/data center demand with server revenue up >80% YTD and wired comms up 63% YTD; bookings “strongest … in at least six quarters,” supporting 2026 growth confidence .
  • Headwinds remain in Industrial & Auto (I&A) from channel inventory normalization and a decline in client-compute within C&C, but normalization is on track by year-end; lead times were extended to better align supply and demand .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record C&C revenue and broad-based growth; non-GAAP gross margin expanded q/q and y/y to 69.5% and non-GAAP EPS grew 17% q/q and y/y to $0.28 .
  • Strong AI/data center momentum driving bookings and design wins; management cited the “strongest booking patterns … in at least six quarters” and accelerating server attach/content .
  • Product leadership reinforced with industry-first PQC-ready MachXO5-NX TDQ launch (CNSA 2.0 compliant), aligning with rising security requirements across compute/comm/industrial/auto .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP operating profile pressured by higher stock-based compensation tied to performance/market-based grants, lifting GAAP OpEx and compressing GAAP operating margin (GAAP GM 67.9%, GAAP OpInc -1.2% of revenue) .
  • I&A softness persisted amid purposeful under-shipping to normalize channel inventory; I&A revenue fell y/y and remains a headwind until normalization completes .
  • Client-compute weakness offset strength in servers and wireline comms within C&C, muting the full segment growth picture in 2025 .

Financial Results

Headline Metrics vs prior periods and consensus

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025Consensus (Q3 2025)
Revenue ($M)$127.09 $123.97 $133.35 $133.01*
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.24 $0.24 $0.28 $0.279*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.05 $0.02 $0.02
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)69.0% 69.3% 69.5%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)33.5% 34.1% 35.6%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)26.6% 27.5% 29.0%

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Segment Breakdown ($ and mix)

End MarketQ3 2024 ($M / %)Q2 2025 ($M / %)Q3 2025 ($M / %)
Communications & Computing$61.0 / 48% $68.7 / 55% $74.0 / 55%
Industrial & Automotive$54.2 / 43% $47.3 / 38% $50.3 / 38%
Consumer$11.9 / 9% $8.0 / 7% $9.0 / 7%

KPIs and Mix

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
DSO (days)66 63 65
DIO (days)242 218 193
Distribution / Direct95% / 5% 84% / 16% 83% / 17%
Geography (Asia / Americas / Europe)63% / 15% / 22% 67% / 22% / 11% 65% / 19% / 16%
Operating Cash Flow ($M) / Margin$44.01 / 34.6% $38.53 / 31.1% $47.10 / 35.3%
Free Cash Flow ($M) / Margin$39.36 / 31.0% $31.30 / 25.2% $34.03 / 25.5%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ4 2025N/A$138M–$148M New
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %Q4 2025N/A69.5% ±1% New
Non-GAAP OpEx ($M)Q4 2025N/A$54.5–$56.5 (call correction) New (corrected)
Non-GAAP Tax RateQ4 2025N/A3%–5% New
Non-GAAP EPSQ4 2025N/A$0.30–$0.34 New

Reference (for execution vs prior quarter guidance): Q3 2025 guidance issued on Aug 4 was revenue $128–$138M, non-GAAP GM 69.5% ±1%, non-GAAP OpEx $52–$54M, non-GAAP tax 5%–6%, and non-GAAP EPS $0.26–$0.30; actual Q3 revenue/EPS landed at $133.35M and $0.28, respectively .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025, Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
AI/data center momentumHighlighted new AI use cases; caution on macro . Q2: normalized channel inventory; continued strength into 2026 .Strongest bookings in ~6 quarters; server up >80% YTD; expanding attach/content across CPU/accelerators/networking .Accelerating
Supply chain/inventoryQ1: resilient supply chain; Q2: comms/compute inventory normalized .I&A under-shipping continues, normalization by year-end; lead times extended to align deliveries .Improving (I&A); tighter planning (lead times)
Product roadmapQ1: broad new applications; Q2: expanding small FPGAs (Certus/MachXO5-NX) .Year of Nexus in 2026; Avant more 2027-weighted; industry-first PQC-ready MachXO5-NX TDQ launched .Positive execution
Margins/pricingQ1/Q2: non-GAAP GM ~69%; disciplined pricing to value .Non-GAAP GM 69.5%; pricing to value; portfolio mix managed to sustain ~69% .Stable high-60s
Regional trendsQ1: APAC partner/customer events . Q2: Americas mix higher .China auto strong; aerospace & defense healthy; overall geo mix Asia 65%, Americas 19%, Europe 16% .Mixed by end market
R&D/investmentsQ1: maintained disciplined OpEx while executing . Q2: investing for leadership .Higher stock-based comp tied to growth targets; investing for 2026 growth .Investing up (GAAP), flat on non-GAAP y/y

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered a strong quarter… Communications and Computing achieved record revenue, and we are expecting continued growth into the fourth quarter and beyond.” — CEO .
  • “We set a new record for communications and computing revenue… gross margin to 69.5% on a non-GAAP basis… Non-GAAP EPS of $0.28… strongest booking patterns we have seen in at least six quarters.” — CFO .
  • “Our server business has been up 85% year to date… communication business up 63% year to date… we expect [C&C] to drive accelerated growth in 2026.” — CEO .
  • “We extended lead times in August… customers satisfied with delivery performance… visibility into a very strong book for the next three quarters at least.” — CFO .
  • “We launched the industry’s first CNSA 2.0-compliant post-quantum cryptography-ready secure control FPGA family (MachXO5‑NX TDQ).” — Company press release .

Q&A Highlights

  • 2026 growth drivers: C&C expected to comprise ~60% of revenue in 2026 with growth outpacing hyperscaler CapEx; I&A modeled conservatively at mid-single to ~15% growth; net result underpins performance-based comp accrual for 2026 growth targets .
  • Inventory and lead times: I&A under-shipping of ~$15–$20M per quarter should end by year-end; lead times extended to improve planning and allocations amidst rising demand .
  • Mix shift within C&C: Strength in servers and wired comms offset by a decline in client-compute (three OEMs), muting full-segment growth optics; client headwind fades going forward .
  • Margins: Management aims to sustain ~69.5% non-GAAP GM with mix managed across segments and designs; not banking on large GM expansion next year .
  • AI usage: Estimated high-teens % of products in 2025 rising to mid‑20s % in 2026; ~60/40 split between C&C and I&A use cases .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $133.35M vs $133.01M*; non-GAAP EPS $0.28 vs $0.279* — essentially in line on both. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Q4 2025 outlook vs S&P Global consensus: Guidance midpoint revenue ~$143M vs $143.05M* and midpoint EPS ~$0.32 vs $0.317* — guidance aligns closely with consensus. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Implication: With record C&C, strongest bookings in ~6 quarters, and inventory normalization tailwind, 2026 estimates in C&C may drift up while I&A remains modeled conservatively given macro sensitivity .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • C&C-led reacceleration is intact: record C&C revenue, strongest bookings in ~6 quarters, and server attach/content expansion provide visibility into 2026 growth .
  • Near-term setup constructive: Q4 guide implies +22% YoY growth at midpoint with stable ~69.5% non-GAAP GM and EPS $0.30–$0.34; OpEx guide corrected to $54.5–$56.5M .
  • Structural positioning in AI/security improving: industry-first PQC-ready MachXO5‑NX TDQ aligns with escalating security standards across data center and infrastructure .
  • Mix and inventory dynamics: I&A normalization should turn from 2025 headwind to 2026 tailwind; client-compute headwinds within C&C abating, leaving servers/wireline as primary drivers .
  • Margin stewardship credible: non-GAAP GM sustained near 69.5% through mix/pricing discipline; EBITDA margin expanded to 35.6% despite investment ramp .
  • Cash generation supports capital returns/investment: FCF margin ~25.5% with buybacks continuing ($86M YTD through Q3’25) while funding roadmap investments .
  • Trading lens: Narrative remains AI-driven demand (servers, wireline), bookings momentum, and new security products—watch Q4 execution vs guide and any 2026 outlook color as potential stock movers .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*