LS
LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR CORP (LSCC)·Q3 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Lattice delivered a solid quarter with revenue of $133.35M, non-GAAP gross margin of 69.5%, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.28; Communications & Computing (C&C) revenue reached a record, driving sequential and year/year growth . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue was essentially in line ($133.35M vs $133.01M*) and non-GAAP EPS matched ($0.28 vs $0.279*). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Q4 2025 guidance implies acceleration: revenue $138–$148M (midpoint +22% YoY), non-GAAP GM ~69.5% ±1%, non-GAAP EPS $0.30–$0.34; management corrected a press release typo during the call, clarifying non-GAAP OpEx should be $54.5–$56.5M (not $54–$55M) .
- Strategic drivers: strong AI/data center demand with server revenue up >80% YTD and wired comms up 63% YTD; bookings “strongest … in at least six quarters,” supporting 2026 growth confidence .
- Headwinds remain in Industrial & Auto (I&A) from channel inventory normalization and a decline in client-compute within C&C, but normalization is on track by year-end; lead times were extended to better align supply and demand .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record C&C revenue and broad-based growth; non-GAAP gross margin expanded q/q and y/y to 69.5% and non-GAAP EPS grew 17% q/q and y/y to $0.28 .
- Strong AI/data center momentum driving bookings and design wins; management cited the “strongest booking patterns … in at least six quarters” and accelerating server attach/content .
- Product leadership reinforced with industry-first PQC-ready MachXO5-NX TDQ launch (CNSA 2.0 compliant), aligning with rising security requirements across compute/comm/industrial/auto .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP operating profile pressured by higher stock-based compensation tied to performance/market-based grants, lifting GAAP OpEx and compressing GAAP operating margin (GAAP GM 67.9%, GAAP OpInc -1.2% of revenue) .
- I&A softness persisted amid purposeful under-shipping to normalize channel inventory; I&A revenue fell y/y and remains a headwind until normalization completes .
- Client-compute weakness offset strength in servers and wireline comms within C&C, muting the full segment growth picture in 2025 .
Financial Results
Headline Metrics vs prior periods and consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment Breakdown ($ and mix)
KPIs and Mix
Guidance Changes
Reference (for execution vs prior quarter guidance): Q3 2025 guidance issued on Aug 4 was revenue $128–$138M, non-GAAP GM 69.5% ±1%, non-GAAP OpEx $52–$54M, non-GAAP tax 5%–6%, and non-GAAP EPS $0.26–$0.30; actual Q3 revenue/EPS landed at $133.35M and $0.28, respectively .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered a strong quarter… Communications and Computing achieved record revenue, and we are expecting continued growth into the fourth quarter and beyond.” — CEO .
- “We set a new record for communications and computing revenue… gross margin to 69.5% on a non-GAAP basis… Non-GAAP EPS of $0.28… strongest booking patterns we have seen in at least six quarters.” — CFO .
- “Our server business has been up 85% year to date… communication business up 63% year to date… we expect [C&C] to drive accelerated growth in 2026.” — CEO .
- “We extended lead times in August… customers satisfied with delivery performance… visibility into a very strong book for the next three quarters at least.” — CFO .
- “We launched the industry’s first CNSA 2.0-compliant post-quantum cryptography-ready secure control FPGA family (MachXO5‑NX TDQ).” — Company press release .
Q&A Highlights
- 2026 growth drivers: C&C expected to comprise ~60% of revenue in 2026 with growth outpacing hyperscaler CapEx; I&A modeled conservatively at mid-single to ~15% growth; net result underpins performance-based comp accrual for 2026 growth targets .
- Inventory and lead times: I&A under-shipping of ~$15–$20M per quarter should end by year-end; lead times extended to improve planning and allocations amidst rising demand .
- Mix shift within C&C: Strength in servers and wired comms offset by a decline in client-compute (three OEMs), muting full-segment growth optics; client headwind fades going forward .
- Margins: Management aims to sustain ~69.5% non-GAAP GM with mix managed across segments and designs; not banking on large GM expansion next year .
- AI usage: Estimated high-teens % of products in 2025 rising to mid‑20s % in 2026; ~60/40 split between C&C and I&A use cases .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $133.35M vs $133.01M*; non-GAAP EPS $0.28 vs $0.279* — essentially in line on both. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Q4 2025 outlook vs S&P Global consensus: Guidance midpoint revenue ~$143M vs $143.05M* and midpoint EPS ~$0.32 vs $0.317* — guidance aligns closely with consensus. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Implication: With record C&C, strongest bookings in ~6 quarters, and inventory normalization tailwind, 2026 estimates in C&C may drift up while I&A remains modeled conservatively given macro sensitivity .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- C&C-led reacceleration is intact: record C&C revenue, strongest bookings in ~6 quarters, and server attach/content expansion provide visibility into 2026 growth .
- Near-term setup constructive: Q4 guide implies +22% YoY growth at midpoint with stable ~69.5% non-GAAP GM and EPS $0.30–$0.34; OpEx guide corrected to $54.5–$56.5M .
- Structural positioning in AI/security improving: industry-first PQC-ready MachXO5‑NX TDQ aligns with escalating security standards across data center and infrastructure .
- Mix and inventory dynamics: I&A normalization should turn from 2025 headwind to 2026 tailwind; client-compute headwinds within C&C abating, leaving servers/wireline as primary drivers .
- Margin stewardship credible: non-GAAP GM sustained near 69.5% through mix/pricing discipline; EBITDA margin expanded to 35.6% despite investment ramp .
- Cash generation supports capital returns/investment: FCF margin ~25.5% with buybacks continuing ($86M YTD through Q3’25) while funding roadmap investments .
- Trading lens: Narrative remains AI-driven demand (servers, wireline), bookings momentum, and new security products—watch Q4 execution vs guide and any 2026 outlook color as potential stock movers .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*